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Red10
12160.7
2881.8
21372.9
Blue0
33221.2
3020.6
28320.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330246810100

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.90.4
1.11.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3322
#23
1.20.2
1.31.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
288
#11
1.80.3
1.72.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
2832
#40
0.70.2
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1216
#35
0.70.4
0.60.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
302
#29
0.60.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End