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Red5
17010.7
2161.7
25862.3
Blue8
34011.0
9102.9
21452.2
42%Model gave it58%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4601015202558

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2586
#21
2.30.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
910
#25
2.90.1
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
216
#26
1.70.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
2.20.1
2.02.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1701
#36
0.70.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3401
#22
1.00.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End