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Red5
5030.8
29600.9
2161.7
Blue3
26731.4
681.4
31191.4
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42068101253

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
216
#26
1.70.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2673
#19
1.40.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2960
#18
0.90.1
1.51.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
3119
#17
1.40.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
503
#27
0.80.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
68
#24
1.40.0
1.21.3
Auto
Teleop
End