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Red5
25061.2
30102.4
22521.4
Blue4
32010.5
31383.4
10382.4
30%Model gave it70%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions570101554

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
Unranked
2.40.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
3138
Unranked
3.40.0
3.53.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2252
Unranked
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1038
Unranked
2.40.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2506
Unranked
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.7
3201
Unranked
0.50.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End