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Red2
2912.0
31931.1
28350.3
Blue1
17660.9
19900.8
5780.6
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046821

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
2.00.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1766
Unranked
0.90.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3193
Unranked
1.10.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1990
Unranked
0.80.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2835
Unranked
0.30.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
578
Unranked
0.60.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End