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Red2
32620.5
22790.6
25061.2
Blue1
23990.5
10011.0
14500.6
58%Model gave it42%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110234521

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2506
Unranked
1.20.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
1001
Unranked
1.00.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2279
Unranked
0.60.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
1450
Unranked
0.60.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3262
Unranked
0.50.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2399
Unranked
0.50.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End