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Red8
30102.4
23500.8
10382.4
Blue1
2761.0
5780.6
32010.5
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions31024681081

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3010
Unranked
2.40.5
0.81.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.4
276
Unranked
1.00.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1038
Unranked
2.40.3
1.51.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.8
578
Unranked
0.60.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2350
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3201
Unranked
0.50.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End