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Red2
23500.8
5780.6
17870.8
Blue5
1080.5
14500.6
3061.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions210468101225

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2350
Unranked
0.80.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
306
Unranked
1.70.2
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1787
Unranked
0.80.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1450
Unranked
0.60.2
0.40.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
578
Unranked
0.60.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
108
Unranked
0.50.2
-0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End