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Red4
17470.8
2912.0
8361.3
Blue2
1200.3
20511.6
20101.3
41%Model gave it59%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions330124567842

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
291
Unranked
2.00.1
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2051
Unranked
1.60.1
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
836
Unranked
1.30.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2010
Unranked
1.30.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1747
Unranked
0.80.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
120
Unranked
0.30.1
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End