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Red1
3790.5
23400.6
17470.8
Blue6
33240.8
28350.3
16292.9
29%Model gave it71%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681016

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1747
Unranked
0.80.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.2
1629
Unranked
2.90.2
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2340
Unranked
0.60.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
3324
Unranked
0.80.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
379
Unranked
0.50.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2835
Unranked
0.30.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End