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Red4
23990.5
22521.4
9631.8
Blue3
26321.0
21720.7
2761.0
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2212234443

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
963
Unranked
1.80.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
276
Unranked
1.00.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2252
Unranked
1.40.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2632
Unranked
1.00.0
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2399
Unranked
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2172
Unranked
0.70.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End