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Red4
10141.8
1200.3
20531.3
Blue7
4511.9
4611.0
17660.9
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions230468101247

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
Unranked
1.80.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
451
Unranked
1.90.2
1.51.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2053
Unranked
1.30.1
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
461
Unranked
1.00.2
0.81.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
120
Unranked
0.30.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1766
Unranked
0.90.3
0.50.9
Auto
Teleop
End