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Red1
13080.7
10141.8
14500.6
Blue0
6770.4
29411.4
22521.4
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120123456710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1014
Unranked
1.80.0
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
2252
Unranked
1.40.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1308
Unranked
0.70.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2941
Unranked
1.40.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1450
Unranked
0.60.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
677
Unranked
0.40.1
0.40.2
Auto
Teleop
End