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Red5
26030.8
9631.8
32620.5
Blue3
17470.8
33560.9
12480.6
65%Model gave it35%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046810121453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
963
Unranked
1.80.1
1.82.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
3356
Unranked
0.90.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2603
Unranked
0.80.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1747
Unranked
0.80.0
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3262
Unranked
0.50.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1248
Unranked
0.60.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End