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Red2
33560.9
16292.9
2912.0
Blue5
25061.2
22521.4
30102.4
68%Model gave it32%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6502810121425

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1629
Unranked
2.90.1
3.02.9
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.5
3010
Unranked
2.40.0
2.42.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
291
Unranked
2.00.1
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
2252
Unranked
1.40.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3356
Unranked
0.90.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2506
Unranked
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End