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Red6
10382.4
31383.4
32010.5
Blue2
33240.8
8361.3
932.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7402681012141662

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3138
Unranked
3.40.0
3.53.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
93
Unranked
2.30.0
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1038
Unranked
2.40.0
2.52.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
836
Unranked
1.30.0
1.41.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3201
Unranked
0.50.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3324
Unranked
0.80.1
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End