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Red4
24102.6
19871.4
9352.8
Blue5
12091.3
17421.7
19391.7
79%Model gave it21%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7402681012141645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
935
#3
2.80.0
2.82.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.1
1.70.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.60.0
2.62.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
1742
#22
1.70.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1987
#27
1.40.1
1.41.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1209
#46
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End