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Red5
19391.7
28290.8
31440.9
Blue2
23590.7
27590.8
29860.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11024681052

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.70.3
0.10.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.9
2759
#41
0.80.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3144
#45
0.90.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2359
#33
0.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2829
#32
0.80.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2986
#12
0.60.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End