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Red3
15611.0
24240.4
23890.5
Blue2
20040.8
18630.2
19871.4
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21046832

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1561
#17
1.00.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1987
#27
1.40.0
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2389
#24
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2004
#38
0.80.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2424
#42
0.40.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1863
#50
0.20.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End