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Red1
23330.6
31690.0
23761.1
Blue2
23820.4
27730.8
23521.5
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12046812

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2376
#20
1.10.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2352
#26
1.50.0
1.51.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2333
#52
0.60.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2773
#25
0.80.0
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3169
#54
0.00.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2382
#23
0.40.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End