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Red2
27650.8
23950.6
31440.9
Blue5
9352.8
23411.0
23890.5
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681025

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3144
#45
0.90.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.9
935
#3
2.80.1
1.92.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2765
#30
0.80.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2341
#10
1.00.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2395
#44
0.60.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2389
#24
0.50.2
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End