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Red1
4760.7
23590.7
32470.4
Blue0
31630.1
23330.6
27650.8
49%Model gave it51%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1102345610

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2359
#33
0.70.0
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2765
#30
0.80.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
476
#35
0.70.0
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2333
#52
0.60.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3247
#48
0.40.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
3163
#49
0.10.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End