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Red5
24350.2
17101.2
23691.2
Blue0
23761.1
23881.1
4760.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions21023456750

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.3
0.81.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
2376
#20
1.10.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.20.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1.10.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2435
#53
0.20.3
0.30.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
476
#35
0.70.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End