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Red1
23521.5
28420.4
23720.2
Blue0
19871.4
28290.8
23411.0
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2352
#26
1.50.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1987
#27
1.40.2
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2842
#28
0.40.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2341
#10
1.00.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2372
#36
0.20.1
0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
2829
#32
0.80.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End