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Red4
28290.8
25710.3
23980.9
Blue3
23731.6
17101.2
31440.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions13024681043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2398
#11
0.90.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1.60.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2829
#32
0.80.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1.20.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2571
#43
0.30.2
0.20.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
3144
#45
0.90.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End