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Red2
23881.1
21651.3
23330.6
Blue0
17421.7
20040.8
24610.6
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2304681020

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2165
#29
1.30.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1742
#22
1.70.3
1.41.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1.10.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2004
#38
0.80.3
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2333
#52
0.60.0
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2461
#51
0.60.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End