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Red4
23720.2
34130.9
23950.6
Blue0
23330.6
24240.4
23960.7
24%Model gave it76%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions12013456740

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3413
#40
0.90.3
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
2396
#14
0.70.2
0.70.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2395
#44
0.60.3
0.40.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2333
#52
0.60.2
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2372
#36
0.20.3
-0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2424
#42
0.40.2
0.80.6
Auto
Teleop
End