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Red4
23691.2
31520.7
27951.1
Blue2
23521.5
12091.3
27650.8
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33024681042

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.20.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2352
#26
1.50.1
1.51.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2795
#19
1.10.1
0.91.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1209
#46
1.30.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3152
#16
0.70.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2765
#30
0.80.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End