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Red4
23330.6
23540.5
17501.0
Blue6
19391.7
23731.6
27650.8
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions140268101246

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1.00.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1.70.1
1.31.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2333
#52
0.60.2
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.0
1.60.2
1.41.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2354
#21
0.50.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2765
#30
0.80.2
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End