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Red3
31600.4
31790.5
20040.8
Blue2
32470.4
27730.8
24102.6
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions14026810121432

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2004
#38
0.80.1
0.60.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
2.60.1
2.42.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3179
#39
0.50.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2773
#25
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3160
#13
0.40.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
3247
#48
0.40.1
0.60.4
Auto
Teleop
End