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Red0
27021.8
26261.2
10750.4
Blue3
18460.5
25051.3
15651.7
47%Model gave it53%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions33024681003

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2702
#35
1.80.2
2.12.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1565
#33
1.70.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#39
1.20.2
0.30.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2505
#34
1.30.0
1.11.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1075
#49
0.40.2
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
1846
#43
0.50.0
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End