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Red1
13120.7
14820.9
33820.9
Blue4
13102.7
26252.0
10750.4
16%Model gave it84%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1402681014

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1482
#36
0.90.0
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.8
1310
#15Sur
2.70.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3382
#26
0.90.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
2.00.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1312
#20Sur
0.70.0
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1075
#49
0.40.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End