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Red10
12210.8
8650.1
11148.5
Blue2
10530.3
13251.8
8860.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10-051520102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8.50.1
7.67.7
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 6.7
1325
#22
1.80.1
0.20.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1221
#38
0.80.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
886
#37
0.80.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
865
#48
0.10.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1053
#50
0.30.1
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End