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Red1
26340.9
28522.4
21980.6
Blue7
21851.0
13102.7
13341.6
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2406810121417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.1
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1310
#15
2.70.1
2.22.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2634
#25
0.90.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
1334
#11
1.60.1
1.11.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2198
#29
0.60.1
0.20.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2185
#24
1.00.1
0.70.8
Auto
Teleop
End