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Red5
13053.7
29351.3
13120.7
Blue2
33601.1
13102.7
7721.8
32%Model gave it68%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45026810121452

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.70.0
3.03.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
1310
#15
2.70.2
2.42.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2935
#13
1.30.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
772
#18
1.80.2
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1312
#20
0.70.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1.10.3
1.20.9
Auto
Teleop
End