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Red1
21980.6
12460.6
8650.1
Blue1
33820.9
26340.9
15471.0
48%Model gave it52%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110122311

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1246
#44
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
1547
#27
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2198
#29
0.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
3382
#26
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
865
#48
0.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
2634
#25
0.9
Auto
Teleop
End