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Red10
13341.6
12412.2
20566.9
Blue7
10750.4
15651.7
13053.7
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11405101520107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6.90.0
6.46.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 3.3
3.70.1
3.03.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.20.0
2.02.0
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
1565
#33
1.70.1
1.61.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1334
#11
1.60.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.2
1075
#49
0.40.1
0.10.2
Auto
Teleop
End