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Red1
10530.3
33750.5
14041.5
Blue7
13102.7
13120.7
15651.7
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions2504810121417

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1404
#30
1.50.1
1.61.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.1
1310
#15
2.70.1
2.42.5
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3375
#46
0.50.1
0.70.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.2
1565
#33
1.70.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1053
#50
0.30.1
0.10.0
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
1312
#20
0.70.2
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End