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Red5
14820.9
25051.3
30400.8
Blue3
26340.9
12460.6
13251.8
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions32046810121453

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2505
#34
1.30.1
1.21.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.5
1325
#22
1.80.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1482
#36
0.90.2
0.50.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Level
2634
#25
0.90.1
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3040
#31
0.80.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1246
#44
0.60.1
0.70.7
Auto
Teleop
End