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Red9
31170.7
26261.2
13053.7
Blue11
26252.0
18151.5
13251.8
61%Model gave it39%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4301015911

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3.70.2
3.13.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.7
2.00.4
1.51.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2626
#39
1.20.4
0.30.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.6
1325
#22
1.80.6
1.21.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3117
#45
0.70.4
0.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1.50.6
0.61.2
Auto
Teleop
End