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Red0
9070.1
33750.5
12460.6
Blue10
12412.2
33820.9
29493.7
1%Model gave it99%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions072468101214010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1246
#44
0.60.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 3.1
2949
#14
3.70.2
3.63.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3375
#46
0.50.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 1.7
2.20.2
2.02.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
907
#21
0.10.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
3382
#26
0.90.3
0.50.8
Auto
Teleop
End