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Red1
26700.3
15351.6
9190.2
Blue11
1884.0
26340.9
26261.2
26%Model gave it74%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions250468101214111

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1535
#16
1.60.1
1.71.6
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 2.4
188
#3
4.00.3
3.53.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2670
#41
0.30.1
0.40.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.9
2626
#39
1.20.5
0.71.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
919
#40
0.20.1
0.50.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.7
2634
#25
0.90.6
0.20.8
Auto
Teleop
End