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Red7
12412.2
18151.5
28522.4
Blue6
8541.2
14820.9
7721.8
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6302481012141676

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2.40.1
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
772
#18
1.80.1
1.81.9
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2.20.1
2.22.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.0
854
#42
1.20.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1.50.1
1.11.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
1482
#36
0.90.2
0.70.9
Auto
Teleop
End