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Red0
9190.2
33870.8
18460.5
Blue3
13120.7
12460.6
29940.6
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions22046803

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3387
#47
0.80.1
0.90.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1312
#20
0.70.1
0.60.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1846
#43
0.50.1
0.60.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
1246
#44
0.60.1
0.60.6
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
919
#40
0.20.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.4
2994
#51
0.60.1
0.50.6
Auto
Teleop
End