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Red1
13251.8
30400.8
12210.8
Blue5
15651.7
33820.9
15351.6
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4402681012141615

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
1325
#22
1.80.2
2.01.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.1
1565
#33
1.70.0
1.81.8
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
1221
#38
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.8
1535
#16
1.60.0
1.61.7
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
3040
#31
0.80.2
1.00.8
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3382
#26
0.90.1
0.80.9
Auto
Teleop
End