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Red1
21301.2
9972.8
15150.5
Blue1
4881.0
23740.8
31451.2
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5302468101211

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
997
#1
2.8
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 1.6
3145
#10
1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2130
#26
1.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
488
#11
1.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1515
#55
0.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2374
#39
0.8
Auto
Teleop
End