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Red5
27331.5
21920.8
7532.1
Blue2
25571.2
3600.9
15101.3
72%Model gave it28%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5302468101252

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
753
#2
2.10.0
2.22.2
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.8
1510
#12
1.30.0
1.31.3
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2733
#15
1.50.0
1.61.6
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
1.20.0
1.21.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2192
#46
0.80.0
0.90.9
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
360
#23
0.90.0
1.00.9
Auto
Teleop
End