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Red2
21301.2
31451.2
14320.6
Blue4
9570.2
24711.6
4881.0
40%Model gave it60%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions120468101224

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2130
#26
1.20.1
0.40.5
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.3
2471
#17
1.60.2
1.01.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3145
#10
1.20.1
0.50.5
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.2
488
#11
1.00.2
0.91.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
1432
#41
0.60.1
0.30.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.4
957
#33
0.20.2
0.10.3
Auto
Teleop
End