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Red1
25211.0
29150.8
25220.9
Blue0
30130.2
25500.5
21301.2
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions11023456710

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2521
#25
1.00.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2130
#26
1.20.1
0.50.4
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
2522
#43
0.90.0
0.40.4
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.3
2550
#59
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2915
#48
0.80.0
0.30.3
Auto
Teleop
End
red by 0.6
3013
#49
0.20.1
0.10.1
Auto
Teleop
End