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Red1
26350.4
29101.3
31880.5
Blue0
24711.6
31310.5
29510.5
44%Model gave it56%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1204681010

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2910
#30
1.30.0
0.80.7
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.2
2471
#17
1.60.1
1.11.0
Auto
Teleop
End
Second
3188
#58
0.50.0
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
2951
#37
0.50.1
0.20.1
Auto
Teleop
End
Third
2635
#47
0.40.0
0.20.2
Auto
Teleop
End
blue by 0.1
3131
#34
0.50.1
0.30.2
Auto
Teleop
End